Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#150
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#153
Pace66.4#241
Improvement+6.1#6

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#236
First Shot-2.3#258
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#141
Layup/Dunks-2.3#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#67
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#265
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+4.1#27

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#96
First Shot+3.4#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#230
Layups/Dunks+1.1#120
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#57
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement+2.0#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 4.0
Quad 22.0 - 3.02.0 - 7.0
Quad 36.0 - 5.08.0 - 12.0
Quad 48.0 - 4.016.0 - 16.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 164   Northern Iowa W 74-65 66%     1 - 0 +5.9 -2.0 +7.5
  Nov 16, 2018 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-73 85%     1 - 1 -15.9 -7.4 -8.6
  Nov 18, 2018 235   UC Davis W 68-59 78%     2 - 1 +1.9 -1.1 +3.6
  Nov 20, 2018 39   @ Indiana L 64-78 12%     2 - 2 -0.1 -3.6 +4.1
  Nov 23, 2018 52   @ Arkansas L 60-78 15%     2 - 3 -6.0 -12.9 +8.8
  Nov 27, 2018 121   @ Tulsa L 58-72 30%     2 - 4 -7.6 -6.1 -2.6
  Dec 01, 2018 168   UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-76 67%     2 - 5 -14.4 -6.7 -7.7
  Dec 04, 2018 67   @ Missouri L 45-65 19%     2 - 6 -9.6 -17.4 +6.1
  Dec 08, 2018 161   @ North Texas L 61-63 44%     2 - 7 +0.7 -0.3 +0.7
  Dec 18, 2018 1   @ Gonzaga L 55-89 2%     2 - 8 -7.5 -12.3 +7.9
  Dec 21, 2018 332   @ Cal Poly W 75-70 OT 83%     3 - 8 -4.2 -12.2 +7.5
  Dec 28, 2018 30   @ Texas L 56-76 10%     3 - 9 -4.7 -5.1 -1.4
  Jan 03, 2019 116   Georgia St. L 58-63 50%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -3.9 -14.7 +10.8
  Jan 05, 2019 111   Georgia Southern L 64-77 48%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -11.6 -6.6 -5.4
  Jan 10, 2019 201   @ Appalachian St. W 82-72 53%     4 - 11 1 - 2 +10.3 +3.1 +6.7
  Jan 12, 2019 167   @ Coastal Carolina W 61-58 46%     5 - 11 2 - 2 +5.2 -5.9 +11.3
  Jan 17, 2019 248   Arkansas St. W 68-59 81%     6 - 11 3 - 2 +0.9 -6.7 +8.1
  Jan 19, 2019 229   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-73 77%     7 - 11 4 - 2 +2.3 +4.8 -2.8
  Jan 24, 2019 111   @ Georgia Southern W 72-67 28%     8 - 11 5 - 2 +12.0 +2.6 +9.4
  Jan 26, 2019 116   @ Georgia St. L 71-77 29%     8 - 12 5 - 3 +0.7 +2.1 -1.5
  Feb 02, 2019 138   @ Texas St. W 84-77 2OT 35%     9 - 12 6 - 3 +12.0 +6.0 +5.1
  Feb 07, 2019 167   Coastal Carolina W 74-54 67%     10 - 12 7 - 3 +16.6 +1.6 +15.7
  Feb 09, 2019 201   Appalachian St. W 78-68 73%     11 - 12 8 - 3 +4.7 +1.0 +3.8
  Feb 14, 2019 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 52-56 59%     11 - 13 8 - 4 -5.2 -11.9 +6.1
  Feb 16, 2019 248   @ Arkansas St. L 79-83 64%     11 - 14 8 - 5 -6.6 -3.7 -2.5
  Feb 21, 2019 178   Louisiana L 64-76 68%     11 - 15 8 - 6 -15.7 -11.1 -4.9
  Feb 23, 2019 145   Louisiana Monroe W 91-86 2OT 59%     12 - 15 9 - 6 +3.8 -0.2 +3.3
  Feb 28, 2019 214   @ South Alabama W 75-57 54%     13 - 15 10 - 6 +17.9 +16.0 +5.5
  Mar 02, 2019 249   @ Troy W 79-66 64%     14 - 15 11 - 6 +10.4 +10.2 +1.4
  Mar 09, 2019 138   Texas St. W 81-73 56%     15 - 15 12 - 6 +7.4 +13.4 -5.7
  Mar 16, 2019 111   Georgia Southern W 67-58 38%     16 - 15 +13.2 -5.3 +18.4
  Mar 17, 2019 116   Georgia St. L 64-73 39%     16 - 16 -5.1 -9.4 +4.5
Projected Record 16.0 - 16.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%